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中国农学通报 ›› 2019, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (15): 49-53.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb18010098

所属专题: 资源与环境

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

长江下游地区作物生长季水分资源变化特征及影响分析——以上海地区为例

史艳姝, 李 军, 辛跳儿, 周坤   

  1. 上海市气候中心
  • 收稿日期:2018-01-18 修回日期:2018-03-30 接受日期:2018-04-20 出版日期:2019-05-28 发布日期:2019-05-28
  • 通讯作者: 史艳姝
  • 基金资助:
    上海市科技兴农重点攻关课题“上海郊区季节性湿地(稻田)气象生态效应评估技术研究”[沪农科攻字(2012)第2-11 号];科技部公益性行 业(气象)科研专项“作物模型比较及其业务化应用”(GYHY201306052)。

Variation Characteristics and Influence of Precipitation Resources During Crop Growing Season in Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River: A Case Study of Shanghai

  • Received:2018-01-18 Revised:2018-03-30 Accepted:2018-04-20 Online:2019-05-28 Published:2019-05-28

摘要: 文章旨在合理利用水稻生长季的农业气候资源,提高农业气象防灾减灾能力。利用1961—2015年上海地区10个气象站逐日降水资料,应用降水集中度和降水集中期的概念分析了上海地区单季晚稻生长季水分资源变化规律、特征和分布条件。结果表明:近55年单季晚稻生长季年降水量呈增加趋势,降水线性倾向率是33.6/10 a;大雨和暴雨量级增长趋势明显,平均每10年分别增加33.6 mm和32.0 mm。降水日数变化趋势不明显,与不同降水量级之间存在着明显的反相关;年降水量与降水日数之间变化特征一致,存在同步性(通过0.01 显著性水平检验)。降水量变异系数在1995—1997 年、2008—2010 年和2011—2013 年的年份间数值较小,3 年平均降水相对变率呈持续上升趋势。PCD变化趋势不显著,降水分布不均匀,PCP主要集中在6 月19 日—8 月7 日,均值在7 月14 日。研究结果为单季晚稻生长季水分资源利用,应对气候变化提供科学参考。

关键词: 香蕉, 香蕉, 加工产品, 提取, 加工技术

Abstract: This paper aims to make appropriate use of the agricultural climatic resources in rice crop growing season, as well as to improve the ability of disaster prevention and mitigation in agriculture. The characteristics of spatial and temporal distributions and variations of precipitation resources during single-crop late rice growing season are analyzed by using the index of precipitation-concentration degree(PCD) and precipitation-concentration period (PCP), based on the daily climatic data of 10 weather stations in Shanghai during 1961 to 2015. The results show that in the recent 55 years the precipitation has an increase tendency, and the linear trend rate of precipitation is 33.6/10a;The intensity of precipitation of heavy rain and rainstorm increased(p<0.05),the average growth rate of them were 33.6 and 32.0mm per10 years respectively. Precipitation days have little change indistinctively, and the precipitation days have obvious inverse relationship with different precipitation magnitude, and over the significant level at 0.01. The coefficient of variation of precipitation is smaller in the 1995-1997, 2008-2011 and 2011-2013 years, and the relative change rate of average precipitation in three years shows a rising trend(p<0.01). The variation trend of the precipitation-concentration degree (PCD) is not significant, and uneven distribution of precipitation, the precipitations concentration period (PCP) is mainly focused on June 19 - August 7, and the mean is on July 14. These results can provided a scientific reference for the utilization of the precipitation resources of crop growing season of single-crop late rice and the response to climate change.