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中国农学通报 ›› 2011, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (26): 281-286.

所属专题: 现代农业发展与乡村振兴 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

濮阳气候变化对农业生产的影响

刘平 李利伟   

  • 收稿日期:2011-05-26 修回日期:2011-07-22 出版日期:2011-10-15 发布日期:2011-10-15

The Influence of Climate Change in Puyang on Agricultural Production

  • Received:2011-05-26 Revised:2011-07-22 Online:2011-10-15 Published:2011-10-15

摘要:

为了确定气候变化对农业生产的利弊影响,笔者利用线性和方差分析法,对濮阳55年降水量、气温及日照年际变化进行重点分析。结果表明:55年来,濮阳地区平均气温呈上升趋势,各季中以冬季增温明显,春季次之,秋季最弱,夏季则有变凉趋势;日照时数总体呈减少趋势,年日照时数以平均每10年135 h的幅度递减。年平均降水量为599.8 mm,年降水量距平百分率为-56%~75%,表明年降水量的年际变化较大,容易形成干旱或夏季内涝。造成气候变化的原因是,人类活动导致气候持续变暖,空气污染的逐年加重导致日照减少,降水总体呈阶段性变化趋势。

关键词: 花芽分化, 花芽分化, 内源激素, 多胺, 矿质元素

Abstract:

In order to find out the positive and negtive influence of climate changing pattern on agricultural production, the author focused on analyzing the yearly variation of precipitation, temperature and sunlight in past 50 years by applying linear and standard deviation statistical tools. The results demonstrated that the average temperature in Puyang showed an upward trend in past 55 years of the four seasons, winter showed the most notable increase, followed by spring and autumn, while the average temperature in summer tended to go down. Moreover, daily sunlight showed a downward trend generally. The hours of sunlight per year decreased at a speed of 135 h every decade. Lastly, yearly precipitation was 599.8 mm, and anomaly percentage of which was -56%-75%, showing a big variation of yearly precipitation that could easily cause drought and flood. The reasons of climate change could be summarized as follows: firstly, human activities drove climate warmer; secondly, the heavier and heavier air pollution and climate changes led to decrease of sunlight; lastly, the precipitation showed an overall downward trend and periodic changes.