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中国农学通报 ›› 2010, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (11): 341-345.

所属专题: 小麦 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

豫东北气温变化趋势及对冬小麦生长发育的影响

王惠芳1,张青珍2,张明捷1,朱腾冉1   

  • 收稿日期:2009-12-23 修回日期:2010-01-27 出版日期:2010-06-05 发布日期:2010-06-05

Yu-northeast trend Temperatuer changing on Winter wheat growth and Development

Wang Huifang1, Zhang Qingzhen2, Zhang Mingjie1, Zhu Tengran1   

  • Received:2009-12-23 Revised:2010-01-27 Online:2010-06-05 Published:2010-06-05

摘要:

摘要: 利用线性分析方法,分析濮阳多时间尺度气温的变化特征,及气候趋暖对冬小麦生产的影响。结果表明:冬、夏季和年平均气温升、降温趋势分别为0.23~0.46℃/10a、-0.05~-0.11℃/10a年和0.14℃/10a;年高(≥35℃)、低(≤-10℃)温日数分别以3.36天/10a和2.35天/10年的趋势减少;日平均气温稳定通过0℃的初日提前4.91/10a、终日推后1.02天/10a,日平均气温稳定通过20℃的终日延长2.0天/10a;1987年以来濮阳相继出现17个暖冬,严重暖冬年份皆出现在1995年以后。当地引种的小麦品种冬性减弱,播种期推后,越冬期缩短,生育期延长。病虫害有加重趋势,农药、化肥用量增加。结论认为:当地气候变化具有冬趋暖夏趋凉的特征,高低温危害减少,积温的有效性增加,作物生长期与灌浆期延长;自上世纪90年代中期以来,异常暖冬事件增多,近10年是50年以来最暖的10年。同时冬季平均气温年际间波幅增大,春季气温不稳定,气温变化的不确定性增加。气候变暖对当地粮食生产有利因素较多,但不利因素也很突出,如何趋利避害,确保粮食安全是需要进一步研究的问题。

关键词: 发酵型金耳多糖, 发酵型金耳多糖, 分离, 纯化, 降血糖作用

Abstract:

Abstract:The features of temperature changing in various time scales in Puyang and the effect son grain production caused by the warming-up climate are analysed by the method of linear analysis .The results are as follows :the temperatures in winter and in summer float respectively with the value 0.23-0.46℃/10a and –0.05-0.11℃/10a while the yearly average is 0.14℃/10a. Every year hot days with the temperature as high as or higher than 35 decrease by the degree of 3.36 days every 10 years and cool days with the temperature as low as or lower than –10 reduce by the degree of 2005 days every 10 years .The first day when the average daily temperature keeps above 0 steadily falls 4.91 days earlier every 10 years While the last day comes 1.02 days later every 10 years . Besides , the last day when the average daily temperature keeps above 20 steadily comes 2.0 days later every 10 years. there have been 17 warm winters ever since the year 1987 in puyang , with the most typical ones happening after 1995.The breed of wheat introduced to Puyang gets weaker in winter nature with postponed sowing date ,shorter overwintering period and longer growing period .As a consequence ,plant diseases and isect pests tend to be more serious and greater amount of agricultural chemical and fertilizer have to be applied. Conclusion: the local climate is changing with the tendency of warmer winter and cooler summer. Therefore ,the damage done by high or low temperature decreases ,the efficiency of acccumulating temperature increases and plants obtain a longer growing and milking period .Ever since the mid-1990s,more events of unusual warm winter happen .The last ten years are the warmest for the past 50 years .Meanwhile ,the average yearly temperature in winter is changing with a larger amplitude ,while the temperature in spring tends to be poor in stability ,that is ,the indefinite property of temperature gains. Although there exist more advantages for the local grain production in warmer climate, disadvantages stand out at the same time. Research is necessary to ensure grain safety by pursuing gains and avoiding losses.