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中国农学通报 ›› 2016, Vol. 32 ›› Issue (32): 124-130.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb16050058

所属专题: 农业气象

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

1960—2015年内蒙古气候诊断及其与农田覆盖变化相互关系

张 超   

  1. (内蒙古生态与农业气象中心,呼和浩特 010051)
  • 收稿日期:2016-05-12 修回日期:2016-11-03 接受日期:2016-08-22 出版日期:2016-11-15 发布日期:2016-11-15
  • 通讯作者: 张超
  • 基金资助:
    内蒙古气象局科技创新项目“基于被动微波数据的雪深反演研究”(nmqxkjcx201602)。

Climatic Diagnosis and Its Relationship with Farmland Coverage Change: 1960-2015 in Inner Mongolia

Zhang Chao   

  1. (Inner Mongolia Ecological and Agricultural Meteorological Center, Hohhot 010051)
  • Received:2016-05-12 Revised:2016-11-03 Accepted:2016-08-22 Online:2016-11-15 Published:2016-11-15

摘要: 为了摸清1960年以来内蒙古农业气候资源变化及其对农田覆盖影响,本研究利用1960—2015年的105个气象站逐旬气象资料从中心趋势检验、年际稳定性检验、变化趋势检验3个方面进行气候统计诊断,利用1982—2006年的GIMMS-NDVI数据进行农田植被覆盖特征及变化分析,结合116个气象站逐日气象资料,利用GIS空间插值实现站点数据点到面转换,气象要素栅格数据投影方式与像元大小均与GIMMS-NDVI数据相一致。利用GIS空间分析、地统计分析、趋势分析、相关分析等方法,分析农田NDVI与同期温度、降水条件间相互关系。结果表明:(1)2000年以来,内蒙古各季节平均气温、年平均气温线性变化趋势均呈显著上升趋势;大部地区年降水量较为稳定,春季增多,夏季减少,秋季变化不明显,冬季中东部增多,西部减少的,但均不显著;(2)农田NDVI年内分布呈现开口向下的单峰型分布曲线,农田NDVI全年均值、夏季均值、峰值上升趋势显著,但通过稳定性检验,2000年来变化不显著;(3)春季墒情好坏影响气温与植被覆盖的利弊关系。

关键词: 矮砧, 矮砧, 抗旱性, 主成分分析, 隶属函数

Abstract: The paper aims to clarify the agricultural climate resources change of Inner Mongolia and its impact on farmland coverage since 1960. Using every 10 days meteorological data from 105 weather stations in Inner Mongolia from 1960 to 2015, climatic diagnosis was done from 3 aspects, including the central trend test, annual stability test, change trend test. The author used GIMMS-NDVI data from 1982 to 2006 to analyze the characteristics and changes of farmland vegetation, combined with the daily meteorological data from 116 weather stations, GIS spatial interpolation was used to achieve the transform of site data from point to the surface, meteorological elements raster data projection method and pixel were consistent with GIMMS NDVI data. Farmland’s NDVI and the relationship between temperature and precipitation conditions in synchronization were analyzed by GIS spatial analysis, statistical analysis, trend analysis and correlation analysis. The results showed that: (1) since 2000, the seasonal mean temperature and annual average temperature of Inner Mongolia all showed a linear trend with significant increase; annual precipitation was relatively stable in most regions; the amount of precipitation increased in spring, while decreased in summer, and had no obvious change in autumn, and increased in east-central part and decreased in west part in winter while the changes were not significant; (2) the annual distribution of farmland NDVI presented an open downward unimodal curve; the annual average, average in summer, peak value of farmland NDVI rose significantly, but passed the stability test, there was no significant change in 2000; (3) the moisture in spring affected the pros and cons between temperature and vegetation cover.