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中国农学通报 ›› 2011, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (1): 328-332.

所属专题: 小麦

• 资源 环境 生态 土壤 气象 • 上一篇    下一篇

河南省小麦生产中相关投入的计量经济模型分析

薛丽丽 康娟   

  • 收稿日期:2010-11-01 修回日期:2010-12-13 出版日期:2011-01-07 发布日期:2011-01-07

Analysis of Wheat Production in Fertilizer Inputs Econometric Model in Henan Province

  • Received:2010-11-01 Revised:2010-12-13 Online:2011-01-07 Published:2011-01-07

摘要:

此文采用计量经济多元回归模型对河南省(1978—2008年)小麦生产各投入要素进行回归分析,得出各投入要素与小麦产量的相关性及与各要素之间的相关性,再根据河南省的省情,分析出化肥对小麦产量的影响极大。然而化肥投入过多对小麦生产也存在一定的负面效应,同时对生态环境影响很大,尤其是温室效应的加剧。随着小麦生产中化肥投入的不断增加,残留在土壤中的化肥和植物利用化肥后排到大气中的N2O也越来越多,为了改善小麦生产环境,提出应合理施肥、在化肥施用过程中配合施用有机肥、以及按照合理的比例施肥等措施。针对此问题提出要合理施肥,化肥与有机肥配合使用及按比例施肥等措施。

关键词: 三色堇, 三色堇, 施肥, 根冠比, 壮苗指数

Abstract:

This article uses econometric multiple regression model of Henan Province (1978-2008) investment in wheat production elements of the regression analysis, the input factors associated with wheat yield and with the correlation between the various elements, according to Henan Province, to analyze the impact of fertilizer on wheat yield significantly. However, too much fertilizer on wheat production inputs there are some negative effects, while a great impact on the ecological environment, especially the intensification of the greenhouse effect. With fertilizer input in wheat production continues to increase, fertilizer residue in the soil and plants using fertilizer N2O back into the atmosphere more and more, in order to improve wheat production is proposed to be rational fertilization, in the process of chemical fertilizer with the application of organic manure and fertilizer in accordance with a reasonable proportion of such measures.