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中国农学通报 ›› 2018, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (34): 151-158.doi: 10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb17090034

所属专题: 园艺

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国蔬菜种业产值测算与空间分异规律研究

杨芳   

  1. 中国教育经济信息网
  • 收稿日期:2017-09-07 修回日期:2018-09-26 接受日期:2018-10-17 出版日期:2018-12-16 发布日期:2018-12-16
  • 通讯作者: 杨芳
  • 基金资助:
    中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所基本业务费课题“西南山区农村一二三产业融合发展模式研究——以贵州省兴义市为试点” (Y2017ZK12)。

The Variation of China’s Vegetable Seed Industry Output Value Calculation and Space

  • Received:2017-09-07 Revised:2018-09-26 Accepted:2018-10-17 Online:2018-12-16 Published:2018-12-16

摘要: 基于我国蔬菜种业发展现状及各行业种业产值的测算方法,结合蔬菜业内产值的核算方法,本文运用农户端的数据,对2005 年-2015年我国蔬菜种业产值进行了核算。由于数据较难获取,本文采用间接算法估算其产值。经测算,2015年国内蔬菜种业产值达270.06亿元,其中,山东省的值最大,达40.88亿元。其次,河北省、江苏省、河南省的蔬菜种业产值均在20亿元以上。四川省的蔬菜种业产值最小,不足10亿元。按地域分析,中国东部地区的蔬菜种业产值最大,西部地区的蔬菜种业产值最小。2015年全国蔬菜种业产值排名前五的省份分别为山东省、河北省、河南省、江苏省和湖北省。2015年全国蔬菜种业产值最小的五省分别为海南省、天津市、北京市、青海省和西藏自治区。2005年-2015年东北部地区蔬菜种业产值先降后升,具体表现为2008年下降,2011年上升,主要受蔬菜种子价格波动的影响。东部沿海地区的蔬菜种业产值于2011年之后迅速上涨,主要受蔬菜种子价格波动及用种量变化的影响。此外,中东部地区的蔬菜种业产值略有下降态势。鉴于上述综合分析,各省蔬菜种业产值全国排名的变动主要受控于蔬菜种子价格、用种量及各年气候变动的影响,受蔬菜播种面积的影响较小。

关键词: 草莓, 草莓, 体细胞无性系变异, 快繁, 应用

Abstract: Based on the development of vegetable seed industry and accounting methods of output value on other seed industries, combining other accounting methods of output value on vegetable seed industry, this paper calculated the output value of vegetable seed industry between 2005 and 2015 based on farmers’ data. Due to difficulties on obtaining the data, we used the indirect method to calculate the output value. The conclusions were as follows. The output value of vegetable seed industry was 27.006 billion yuan in 2015. The maximum was Shandong province whose value was 4.088 billion yuan. Other province whose value above 2 billion yuan were including Hebei, Jiangsu and Henan province. The minmum was Sichuan province whose value was less than 1 billion yuan. According to the geographical analysis, the maximum value was in the eastern China and the minmum one was in the western China. The top five provinces of vegetable seed industry output value were Shandong, Hebei, Henan, Jiangsu and Hubei. The last five provinces of vegetable seed industry output value were Hainan, Tianjin, Beijing, Qinghai and Tibet. The output value of vegetable seed industry in the northeast China was descend in 2008 firstly then ascend in 2011, which was mainly due to the fluctuate of vegetable seed price and vegetable seed quantities. The output value of vegetable seed industry in the mid-eastern China had a slight downward. In view of the above comprehensive analysis, the changed in ranking of the output value of vegetable seed industry was mainly influenced by the vegetable seed price, vegetable seed quantities and the climate change. The seeding area had less influence than others.