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中国农学通报 ›› 2010, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (24): 461-465.

• 三农研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

重庆市涪陵区城镇化水平驱动机制分析及预测

陈尹亓 周保同 陈成龙   

  • 收稿日期:2010-05-13 修回日期:2010-07-16 出版日期:2010-12-20 发布日期:2010-12-20

Driving Forces and Forecasting of Urbanization in Fuling District of Chongqing City

  • Received:2010-05-13 Revised:2010-07-16 Online:2010-12-20 Published:2010-12-20

摘要:

本文在介绍重庆市涪陵区1998-2008年间城镇化水平现状的基础上,通过分析涪陵区城镇化发展的外在和内在驱动机制,对涪陵区城镇化趋势进行定性分析,最后再运用综合增长率法和剩余劳动力转移法分别预测出2015年和2020年的总人口和城镇常住人口,得出涪陵区在2015和2020年的城镇化水平。

关键词: THRSP基因, THRSP基因, PCR-SSCP, 黄牛, 分子标记

Abstract:

This paper analyzes the status of urbanization level of the district of Fuling in Chongqing during 1998~2008, and study the urbanization tendency and its external and internal motivation mechanism. The total population and urban resident population in 2015 and 2020 are forecasted by comprehensive growth rate and rural redundant labor shifting. It finally gets the urbanization level of Fuling in 2015 and 2020.