Abstract:

Agricultural carbon emission is one of the important causes of the greenhouse effect. How to reduce agricultural carbon emissions and how to achieve low-carbon agricultural development is an urgent problem to be solved. Planting industry is a key part of agriculture, and reducing carbon emissions from planting industry requires more attention. Based on the panel data of Shandong Province from 2009 to 2020, this paper calculated carbon emissions of planting industry in Shandong Province, and analyzed the spatio-temporal pattern of carbon emissions of planting industry in the province, aiming to provide reference for improving the low-carbon and emission reduction policy of planting industry. The results showed that the overall carbon emission of planting industry in Shandong Province presented a downward trend, and the spatial differences in the total amount of agricultural carbon emissions in cities and prefectures of Shandong were obvious, and the trend of ‘high—low—high’ was observed from the southeast to the northwest. The carbon emission intensity of Shandong Province also showed a downward trend year by year, but there were differences in the distribution pattern between carbon emission intensity and amount of the planting industry. Therefore, the influencing factors of the above situation were analyzed, and it was concluded that the level of agricultural development, rural per capita income and agricultural structure had significant inhibitory effects on the carbon emission structure of the planting industry, and the regional industrial structure adjustment also showed a certain degree of inhibition, while the level of agricultural mechanization and urbanization showed a significant role in promoting carbon emission.

Key words: Shandong Province, planting industry, panel data, agricultural carbon emission, low carbon agriculture