Impact of Climate Change on Spring Wheat Growth in Different Climate Types in Northwest China

doi:10.11924/j.issn.1000-6850.casb2020-0012

Abstract

Abstract:

To study the impacts of observed climate change on crop development and yield could provide more accurate information for assessing the effect of climate change on crop production. In this study, we used ground observation data from five case areas including extreme drought (Dunhuang), arid (Wuwei), semi-arid (Dingxi), semi-humid (Linxia), and humid (Mixian) in northwest China’s 1981(1986)-2017 to analyze the meteorological trends and determine the relationship between spring wheat growth, yield and climatic factors. The results showed that the climate change patterns and their impacts on spring wheat phenology and yield in these stations were diverse both spatially and temporally during the period of 1981-2017. Except the warmer and wetter trends in extreme arid regions, warmer and drier trends were observed in other regions. Correlation analysis showed that spring wheat production in Wuwei, Dingxi and Linxia stations increased in 1981 (1986)-2017, but the change trend was not significant except Wuwei station. The decrease of days ≥30℃ during the wheat growth period in Wuwei station increased the output in Wuwei station in the 37 years, however, the increase of precipitation during the wheat growth period, more grains per panicle and obviously fewer infertile spikelets in Dingxi station increased the output in Dingxi station in the recent 32 years. It is estimated that the global warming trend and change in precipitation pattern will further impact the production and yield of spring wheat in northwest China.

Key words: northwest China, climate change, spring wheat, growth, phenology

CLC Number:

Yang Yang, Ma Yihao, Zhao Hong, Qi Yue, Wang Runyuan, Zhang Kai, Wang Heling. Impact of Climate Change on Spring Wheat Growth in Different Climate Types in Northwest China[J]. Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin, 2020, 36(35): 78-87.

Figures/Tables 9

References 72

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气候类型	典型测站	海拔高度/m	经度/E	纬度/N	年降水量/mm	年平均气温/℃	灌溉模式	数据时间
超干旱	敦煌	1139	94°41′	40°09′	40.2	9.5	灌溉	1981–2008
干旱	武威	1531	102°40′	37°55′	175.6	8.9	灌溉	1981–2017
半干旱	定西	1897	104°37′	35°35′	365.7	6.5	雨养	1986–2017
半湿润	临夏	1917	103°11′	35°35′	501.4	7.2	灌溉	1981–2017
湿润	岷县	2315	104°01′	34°26′	600.0	6.9	雨养	1987–2004

气候类型	典型测站	海拔高度/m	经度/E	纬度/N	年降水量/mm	年平均气温/℃	灌溉模式	数据时间
超干旱	敦煌	1139	94°41′	40°09′	40.2	9.5	灌溉	1981–2008
干旱	武威	1531	102°40′	37°55′	175.6	8.9	灌溉	1981–2017
半干旱	定西	1897	104°37′	35°35′	365.7	6.5	雨养	1986–2017
半湿润	临夏	1917	103°11′	35°35′	501.4	7.2	灌溉	1981–2017
湿润	岷县	2315	104°01′	34°26′	600.0	6.9	雨养	1987–2004

案例区	年平均气温/(℃/10 a)	最高气温/(℃/10 a)	最低气温/(℃/10 a)	年降水量/(mm/10 a)
敦煌	0.62^**	0.94^**	-0.24	2.50
武威	0.88^**	1.22^**	1.31	-7.16
定西	0.94^**	0.68^**	1.04^*	-10.66
临夏	0.48^**	0.76^**	0.32^*	-20.30^*
岷县	0.80^**	1.06^*	1.26	-52.70

案例区	年平均气温/(℃/10 a)	最高气温/(℃/10 a)	最低气温/(℃/10 a)	年降水量/(mm/10 a)
敦煌	0.62^**	0.94^**	-0.24	2.50
武威	0.88^**	1.22^**	1.31	-7.16
定西	0.94^**	0.68^**	1.04^*	-10.66
临夏	0.48^**	0.76^**	0.32^*	-20.30^*
岷县	0.80^**	1.06^*	1.26	-52.70

案例区	播种期	拔节期	开花期	成熟期	生长期
敦煌	-0.79	-2.23^*	-3.08^**	-0.53	-1.44
武威	1.21^*	-0.15	-2.00^**	-2.01^**	-3.26^**
定西	1.80^*	0.17	-0.56	-0.61	-2.41^*
临夏	0.24	0.19	-2.26^**	-2.80^**	-3.04^**
岷县	2.63	-7.93^**	-5.81^**	-6.04^*	-8.84^**